EARLY WARNING SYSTEM
We look at political, economic, and technological currents to alert you to possible shakeups for your business—and how to handle them.
Why Disruption Risk in Latin America Is Expected
The 2025 tariffs announced for Mexico and Brazil were a surprise, but not necessarily a shock.
That’s because Latin America is always navigating turbulent waters: currency devaluations, political scandals, natural disasters, new technologies, and more.
The key for businesses isn’t just early disruption detection—it’s executing early with a plan to convert turbulence into a vision of the future for the company.
Those kinds of plans don’t just come from forward thinking.
They come from forward acting.
And our disruption risk research will set this in motion.
Making Data Decision-Ready
Most disruption risk comes from a familiar set of forces:
- Political: New leadership, new laws, shifting leanings
- Economic: Tariffs, business cycles, supply chain shocks, tech-driven productivity shifts, credit cycles, consumer behavior swings
- Regulatory: Fiscal pressure, public opinion shifts, market failures, policy borrowing from abroad, crisis-response regulation
- Competitive: New business models, new pricing strategies, data-enabled rivals, faster product iteration
- Technological: Breakthroughs that reduce cost, speed up delivery, remove intermediaries, and accelerate adoption
Once we determine which disruption vectors matter most to your business, we gather the right evidence through a mix of desk research, R&D intensity analysis, customer surveys, expert interviews, immersive fieldwork, and competitive intelligence: we adapt sources to the nature of the disruption you’re facing.
Turning Signals into Scores
Once we have the evidence we need, we apply analytical tools that quantify disruption risk, its likely impact, and where your vulnerabilities lie:
- PESTEL: Maps the external forces reshaping your environment
- Risk Impact–Likelihood Matrix: Prioritizes which risks matter most
- Value Chain Analysis: Shows where disruption will compress margins or shift power
- Elasticity / Sensitivity Analysis: Identifies the KPIs and operations most exposed to change
- Monte Carlo Simulation: Produces probability distributions and worst-case loss scenarios
- Benchmarking: Reveals performance gaps compared to leading competitors
Other models and frameworks are added as needed.
But the output isn’t just analysis.
We translate the findings into clear, actionable direction: where to reinforce your core, where to adapt, where to partner or acquire, where to divest versus where to build something new.
Let’s Get Started
Tell us about your disruption risk analysis needs for Latin America.
